Philadelphia @ Chicago picks

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge today.. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Bryson Stott has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.4-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The #4 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin today.. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 17.6%.. Max Kepler has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 rate is considerably lower than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Davis Martin in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber has big-time power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Davis Martin doesn't generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Nick Castellanos's launch angle lately (22° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 15.3° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. J.T. Realmuto has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.