Chicago @ Milwaukee picks
American Family Field
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MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Jackson Chourio is cruising along a 20-game hitting streak with 31 hits, 16 runs, and 17 RBI to the tune of a monster 1.056 OPS. He’s also been lights out all season against left-handed pitchers like Cubs SP Matthew Boyd, with an elite .417 wOBA, .235 ISO, and .980 OPS vs. southpaws.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Cubs first baseman Michael Busch is another rising star, and he’s teed off on right-handed pitchers this season to the tune of a .409 wOBA, .274 ISO, and .958 OPS. Busch is also reeling along a mini 5-for-40 stretch at the dish with an unsustainably low .150 BABIP alongside a solid 45.5% hard-hit rate.
Strikeouts Thrown

Jacob Misiorowski u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 5.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 79 pitches today (least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. James Hoye grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate today.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Jacob Misiorowski's high utilization percentage of his fastball (54.8% this year) is likely harming his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs

Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jacob Misiorowski.
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Christian Yelich will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs

Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.7% to 17.4%.. Using Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly grades out in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .366.