Colorado @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
COL vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. In MLB, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Ezequiel Tovar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.
Total RBIs

Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (85%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs

Gabriel Arias o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Gabriel Arias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Gabriel Arias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.9%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Michael Toglia o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field profiles as the #3 park in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 49.2%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Yanquiel Fernandez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field profiles as the #3 park in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Yanquiel Fernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.. Yanquiel Fernandez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 92.9-mph over the past 7 days.. Yanquiel Fernandez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 16.1% on the season to 50% over the past week.
Total Bases

Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 park in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (85%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (85%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jordan Beck o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (85%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. In MLB, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Ezequiel Tovar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.