Boston @ Philadelphia props

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Masataka Yoshida usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the past two weeks, Abraham Toro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Roman Anthony has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Roman Anthony tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.

Trevor Story's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Trevor Story will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst stadium in baseball for right-handed base hits. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Lucas Giolito will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today. Trea Turner has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.

Otto Kemp's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Otto Kemp will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Otto Kemp's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Carlos Narvaez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.48 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very fast.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Max Kepler has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .298 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Alex Bregman will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup.