Boston @ Philadelphia picks

Jesus Luzardo has 129 strikeouts across 109 IP in his first 20 starts with the Phillies. He’s had at least seven strikeouts in exactly half of those starts, including two straight and three of his last four. Boston has the fifth-worst strikeout rate (23.6%) overall this season, which goes up to a league-high 280 strikeouts in 1,043 at-bats vs. LHP (27.86%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.48 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Alex Bregman will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game.. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Max Kepler has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .298 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Trevor Story will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Marcelo Mayer has notched a .276 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

When assessing his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The 4th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.. It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for walks.. Citizens Bank Park has the 8th-shallowest LF fences in MLB.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.