PHI +112 o7.5
MIL -121 u7.5
LAD -116 o7.0
PIT +107 u7.0
CLE +142 o8.0
TB -155 u8.0
LAA +132 o9.5
KC -143 u9.5
CHW +131 o8.5
MIN -143 u8.5
NYY -135 o8.5
HOU +125 u8.5

Cincinnati @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Brady House's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Brady House will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brady House's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Brady House will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Noelvi Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Over the last 14 days, Noelvi Marte has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.2% to 16.7%. Noelvi Marte has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Noelvi Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Over the last 14 days, Noelvi Marte has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.2% to 16.7%. Noelvi Marte has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Santiago Espinal
S. Espinal
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Santiago Espinal has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Santiago Espinal has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Austin Hays's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 25%. Austin Hays has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph average.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Austin Hays's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 25%. Austin Hays has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph average.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington

Amed Rosario
A. Rosario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Amed Rosario's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today. Amed Rosario has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Amed Rosario's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today. Amed Rosario has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Alex Call is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Alex Call will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Alex Call has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alex Call is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Alex Call will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Alex Call has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jake Fraley
J. Fraley
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge today. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Jake Fraley ranks in the 80th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .335.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge today. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Jake Fraley ranks in the 80th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .335.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Will Benson
W. Benson
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Will Benson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph EV. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 39.5% to 53.6%.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Will Benson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph EV. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 39.5% to 53.6%.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Mike Soroka in this game. Elly De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Mike Soroka in this game. Elly De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Tyler Stephenson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Tyler Stephenson has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week. Tyler Stephenson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.3-mph.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Tyler Stephenson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Tyler Stephenson has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week. Tyler Stephenson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.3-mph.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Spencer Steer with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mike Soroka who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Spencer Steer with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mike Soroka who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Drew Millas Total Hits Props • Washington

Drew Millas
D. Millas
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Drew Millas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Drew Millas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Drew Millas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Matt McLain's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Matt McLain's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. TJ Friedl will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, TJ Friedl's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. TJ Friedl will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, TJ Friedl's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's matchup.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's matchup.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jose Trevino
J. Trevino
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jose Trevino pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. Jose Trevino pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.76
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Josh Bell has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

// Scripts for MLB A/B test