Slade Cecconi u17.5 Outs Recorded (-128)
He's coming off a season-high 108-pitch outing, as the team pushed him for a complete game following the All-Star break. Conditions won't help him much today either, with Cleveland shaping up as one of the hotter parks on the slate, which could impact stamina and efficiency. His recent workload is also worth noting: he’s thrown 105, 98, and 107 pitches over his last three starts after staying under 90 pitches in seven of his first eight outings — a clear jump in usage. Given the recent volume, there's a strong case for some regression or a tighter leash in these conditions. He’s projected for 15.75 outs on 86 pitches, and even if he pushes to 90, that still lands well short of 17 outs. This sets up well for a potential Under on outs recorded.
Steven Kwan o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-141)
Not only is Steven Kwan hitting .301 against righties this season, but his on-base percentage goes up 61 points against them, while his slugging increases by a massive .132. All of his homers and 24 of his 32 RBI have come when he faces righties. With Orioles SP Zach Eflin returning from the IL, Kwan can have a field day.
In the last 14 days, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 85.6 mph. Steven Kwan has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the last two weeks.
Jose Ramirez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 81-mph over the last week. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 41.5% on the season to 24.3% in the last two weeks. In terms of his batting average, Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck this year. His .295 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best field in the game for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Tyler O'Neill had an average launch angle of 23.7° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 26.7°.
Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-deepest CF fences today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best among all the teams playing today. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the past 7 days, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 14.1% to 9.7%.
Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage today. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.
Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best field in the game for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jacob Stallings has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Despite posting a .174 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jacob Stallings has had bad variance on his side given the .093 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .267.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best field in the game for right-handed base hits. In the league, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's game.
Angel Martinez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Angel Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today's game. Brayan Rocchio has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.4-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best field in the game for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ramon Laureano pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best field in the game for right-handed base hits. In the league, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge today. Extreme flyball hitters like Bo Naylor are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Zach Eflin. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Progressive Field ranks as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Daniel Schneemann will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Daniel Schneemann's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (23.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 15.8° seasonal figure.
Baltimore Trends
Cleveland Trends| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +18995 |
| 2 | HJLOPEZ | 8-2-0 | +16210 |
| 3 | mindsusan12 | 6-2-2 | +14485 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-5-1 | +14215 |
| 5 | OMREBEL02 | 2-8-0 | +13685 |
| 6 | RebelTell2 | 7-3-0 | +13150 |
| 7 | allan6 | 7-2-1 | +12945 |
| 8 | peacy454 | 4-6-0 | +12845 |
| 9 | midway1942 | 6-3-1 | +12570 |
| 10 | BRUNOD | 8-2-0 | +12486 |
| All Guardians Money Leaders | |||
