Milwaukee @ Seattle picks

Jacob Misiorowski squares off against Logan Gilbert at baseball's premier pitchers' park. Runs will be at a premium as these arms show out.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 80 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jacob Misiorowski will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.. Jacob Misiorowski's high usage percentage of his fastball (53.4% this year) is likely harming his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .314 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had bad variance on his side given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.

Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Jackson Chourio has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.. In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.4-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today.. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Dominic Canzone has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.1% rate last season to 16.5% this year.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Cole Young's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) implies that Cole Young has had some very poor luck this year with his .290 actual wOBA.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Seigler will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Logan Gilbert today.. Anthony Seigler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.. Posting a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Blake Perkins has performed in the 82nd percentile.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 venue in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Julio Rodriguez has a tough challenge today.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.. In the past week, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.