Milwaukee @ Seattle Picks & Props

MIL vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo Seattle Mariners logo u7.0 (-125)
Pick made: 5 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Jacob Misiorowski squares off against Logan Gilbert at baseball's premier pitchers' park. Runs will be at a premium as these arms show out.

Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 5.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 80 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jacob Misiorowski will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.. Jacob Misiorowski's high usage percentage of his fastball (53.4% this year) is likely harming his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .314 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had bad variance on his side given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Jackson Chourio has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.. In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.4-mph of late.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today.. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Dominic Canzone has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.1% rate last season to 16.5% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Cole Young logo
Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Cole Young's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) implies that Cole Young has had some very poor luck this year with his .290 actual wOBA.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Anthony Seigler logo
Anthony Seigler o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Seigler will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Logan Gilbert today.. Anthony Seigler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Blake Perkins logo
Blake Perkins o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.. Posting a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Blake Perkins has performed in the 82nd percentile.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 venue in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Julio Rodriguez has a tough challenge today.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.. In the past week, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.
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MIL vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Milwaukee

70%
30%

Total PicksMIL 631, SEA 271

Moneyline
MIL
SEA
Moneyline

MIL vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cole Young Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cole Young
C. Young
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Cole Young's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

Cole Young logo

Cole Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Cole Young's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dominic Canzone
D. Canzone
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.1% rate last season to 16.5% this year. Over the past 14 days, Dominic Canzone's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 106.4-mph recently.

Dominic Canzone logo

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.1% rate last season to 16.5% this year. Over the past 14 days, Dominic Canzone's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 106.4-mph recently.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle

Luke Raley
L. Raley
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.4-mph of late.

Luke Raley logo

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.4-mph of late.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Brice Turang tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.

Brice Turang logo

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Brice Turang tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Christian Yelich with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Gilbert who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Christian Yelich logo

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Christian Yelich with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Gilbert who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game. J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game. J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Anthony Seigler Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Anthony Seigler
A. Seigler
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Seigler will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Logan Gilbert today. Anthony Seigler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.

Anthony Seigler logo

Anthony Seigler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Seigler will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Logan Gilbert today. Anthony Seigler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Isaac Collins is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Isaac Collins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Isaac Collins has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile with a 1.68 K/BB rate. In notching a .344 BABIP this year, Isaac Collins has performed in the 89th percentile.

Isaac Collins logo

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Isaac Collins is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Isaac Collins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Isaac Collins has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile with a 1.68 K/BB rate. In notching a .344 BABIP this year, Isaac Collins has performed in the 89th percentile.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Andrew Vaughn has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 94-mph over the last 14 days. Andrew Vaughn has been unlucky this year, putting up a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .069 gap.

Andrew Vaughn logo

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Andrew Vaughn has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 94-mph over the last 14 days. Andrew Vaughn has been unlucky this year, putting up a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .069 gap.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.

William Contreras logo

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jackson Chourio has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently.

Jackson Chourio logo

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jackson Chourio has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. In the last 7 days, Caleb Durbin's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.5% up to 11.1%. Caleb Durbin has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 84.5-mph figure. Caleb Durbin's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 34.6% on the season to 58.8% over the past 14 days.

Caleb Durbin logo

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. In the last 7 days, Caleb Durbin's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.5% up to 11.1%. Caleb Durbin has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 84.5-mph figure. Caleb Durbin's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 34.6% on the season to 58.8% over the past 14 days.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .314 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had bad variance on his side given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .314 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had bad variance on his side given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Blake Perkins
B. Perkins
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Posting a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Blake Perkins has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Blake Perkins logo

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Posting a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Blake Perkins has performed in the 82nd percentile.

Ben Williamson Total Hits Props • Seattle

Ben Williamson
B. Williamson
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Benjamin Williamson's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob Misiorowski. Benjamin Williamson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. By putting up a .351 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson is positioned in the 95th percentile.

Ben Williamson logo

Ben Williamson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Benjamin Williamson's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob Misiorowski. Benjamin Williamson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. By putting up a .351 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson is positioned in the 95th percentile.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 20.8% in the last 14 days.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 20.8% in the last 14 days.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph figure.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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