Kansas City @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
KC vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Ian Happ will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Ian Happ has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Maikel Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Maikel Garcia will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Rich Hill throws from, Dansby Swanson will have the upper hand in today's game.. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in MLB.. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 19th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Rich Hill throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

John Rave o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.26 ft/sec this year, John Rave is quite fast.
Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Matt Shaw u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Matt Shaw is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Matt Shaw has been pinch hit for 14% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst park in the majors for run-scoring.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.