Detroit @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

DET vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Game Prop
Detroit Tigers logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (No: -130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller has been dealing, posting a 1.96 ERA with a 0.85 WHIP over his last six starts. He's been getting off to strong starts all year, pitching to a 2.25 ERA with an OBA of .204 in the first two innings. That said, don't expect much run support from a Buccos offense that is dead-last in the majors in OPS (.639) and runs per game (3.33). That terrible lineup will face Tigers righty Casey Mize who is coming off an ugly start against the Mariners just before the All-Star break but he was pitching to a 2.63 ERA before that outing. 

Earned Runs Allowed
Mitch Keller logo Mitch Keller u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Keller has been lights out in July. Across three starts this month, he owns a 1.37 ERA, cashing the Under in earned runs allowed in all of those appearances. Last time out, Keller gave up just one earned run in six frames against the Minnesota Twins.

Total RBIs
Jack Suwinski logo
Jack Suwinski o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 6th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Casey Mize.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Wenceel Perez logo
Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Wenceel Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Mitch Keller today.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.1% to 25%.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 25% on the season to 28.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres logo
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Gleyber Torres's launch angle lately (53.3° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 15.8° seasonal mark.. Based on Statcast data, Gleyber Torres is in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .368.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Spencer Torkelson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.. Compared to last season, Spencer Torkelson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 27.5% this season.
Outs Recorded
Mitch Keller logo
Mitch Keller u17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Mitch Keller's 93.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.2-mph decline from last year's 94.5-mph figure.. With a 1.04 gap between Mitch Keller's 3.48 ERA and his 4.52 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should see worse results in future games.. Mitch Keller has posted an 8.3% Swinging Strike% this year, placing in the 13th percentile.. The 10.1% Barrel% of the Detroit Tigers grades them out as the #7 group of hitters in the game this year by this standard.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jack Suwinski logo
Jack Suwinski o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage today.
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DET vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Detroit

66%
34%

Total PicksDET 569, PIT 289

Moneyline
DET
PIT
Total

68% picking Detroit vs Pittsburgh to go Under

32%
68%

Total PicksDET 160, PIT 345

Total
Over
Under

DET vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

28% of the time that Colt Keith has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Colt Keith has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Colt Keith's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

28% of the time that Colt Keith has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Colt Keith has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Colt Keith's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Joey Bart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Joey Bart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jack Suwinski
J. Suwinski
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage today.

Jack Suwinski logo

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage today.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Mitch Keller today. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.1% to 25%.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Mitch Keller today. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.1% to 25%.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

Parker Meadows
P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.284) implies that Parker Meadows has been unlucky this year with his .244 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year, Parker Meadows is very athletic.

Parker Meadows logo

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.284) implies that Parker Meadows has been unlucky this year with his .244 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year, Parker Meadows is very athletic.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

Jake Rogers
J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jake Rogers's launch angle this year (19.1°) is significantly better than his 15.4° mark last season. Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .251 mark is considerably lower than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Rogers logo

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jake Rogers's launch angle this year (19.1°) is significantly better than his 15.4° mark last season. Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .251 mark is considerably lower than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 44.5% to 52.3%. Posting a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Zach McKinstry is ranked in the 84th percentile.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 44.5% to 52.3%. Posting a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Zach McKinstry is ranked in the 84th percentile.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Casey Mize.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Casey Mize.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Gleyber Torres's launch angle lately (53.3° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 15.8° seasonal mark.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Gleyber Torres's launch angle lately (53.3° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 15.8° seasonal mark.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive ability to be a .295, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .035 gap between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive ability to be a .295, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .035 gap between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Spencer Torkelson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Spencer Torkelson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Trey Sweeney will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. Despite posting a .257 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trey Sweeney has been unlucky given the .028 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .285.

Trey Sweeney logo

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Trey Sweeney will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. Despite posting a .257 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trey Sweeney has been unlucky given the .028 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .285.

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Alexander Canario will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has been unlucky this year. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Alexander Canario will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has been unlucky this year. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Javier Baez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph average. Checking in at the 87th percentile, Javier Baez sports a .328 BABIP this year.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Javier Baez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph average. Checking in at the 87th percentile, Javier Baez sports a .328 BABIP this year.

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Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
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