Detroit @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

DET vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Paul Skenes logo Paul Skenes o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The former first overall pick has his work cut out for him tonight against a strong Tigers lineup. However, despite their brilliance, Detroit has the fifth-most team strikeouts this season. That certainly plays in Skenes’ favor. Although he’s only cashed the Over in punchouts in two of his last five appearances, Skenes has 15 strikeouts in just 32 at-bats against this Tigers lineup. He was dominant in the ASG last week, and this is his first start in the second half. Skenes will come in fresh, and he also struck out nine Tigers in June. 

Total
Detroit Tigers logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo u7.0 (-120)
Pick made: 5 months ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

It's Paul Skenes day, so the ace can generally be counted upon to do his thing, as he's allowed more than two earned runs in just three of his 20 starts. No team has scored fewer runs than the Pirates, either, making this an easy Under to target even at a precarious number.

Strikeouts Thrown
Paul Skenes logo
Paul Skenes u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
Projection 6 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Scott Barry profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has dropped 1.4 mph this year (97.5 mph) below where it was last year (98.9 mph).
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.. Riley Greene's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (30.7° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 19.8° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs
Jack Suwinski logo
Jack Suwinski o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jack Suwinski has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 9% rate last season to 14.3% this season.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 6th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jack Flaherty.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Bryan Reynolds will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Wenceel Perez logo
Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Paul Skenes.. Wenceel Perez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (11.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.5° seasonal figure.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 24.1%.. Wenceel Perez has put up a .310 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Skenes.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 27.7%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Henry Davis will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 95th percentile with a 23.2° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 6th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
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DET vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking Detroit vs Pittsburgh to go Under

39%
61%

Total PicksDET 195, PIT 307

Total
Over
Under

DET vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball batters like Ke'Bryan Hayes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball batters like Ke'Bryan Hayes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Henry Davis will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Henry Davis will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jack Suwinski
J. Suwinski
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jack Suwinski logo

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Joey Bart will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Joey Bart will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Skenes.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Skenes.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

Parker Meadows
P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Parker Meadows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today. Parker Meadows has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .241 rate is deflated compared to his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Parker Meadows is notably quick, grading out in the 86th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year.

Parker Meadows logo

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Parker Meadows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today. Parker Meadows has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .241 rate is deflated compared to his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Parker Meadows is notably quick, grading out in the 86th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.76 ft/sec this year.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Tommy Pham generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Tommy Pham generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 78th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Dillon Dingler's 25.9° mark (82nd percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile. Dillon Dingler has compiled a .329 BABIP this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 78th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Dillon Dingler's 25.9° mark (82nd percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile. Dillon Dingler has compiled a .329 BABIP this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jack Flaherty.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jack Flaherty.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme flyball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme flyball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trey Sweeney's true offensive talent to be a .285, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

Trey Sweeney logo

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trey Sweeney's true offensive talent to be a .285, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, Gleyber Torres has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 58° mark in the past week's worth of games.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, Gleyber Torres has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 58° mark in the past week's worth of games.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Javier Baez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph mark. Javier Baez has recorded a .328 BABIP this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Javier Baez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph mark. Javier Baez has recorded a .328 BABIP this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

Matt Vierling
M. Vierling
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Vierling's launch angle from last year's 11.7° to 22.4° this year. With a .260 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt Vierling is ranked in the 75th percentile.

Matt Vierling logo

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Vierling's launch angle from last year's 11.7° to 22.4° this year. With a .260 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt Vierling is ranked in the 75th percentile.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Paul Skenes. Wenceel Perez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (11.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.5° seasonal figure.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Paul Skenes. Wenceel Perez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (11.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.5° seasonal figure.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today's game.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today's game.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today's game. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44.5% to 52.1%.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today's game. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44.5% to 52.1%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
All Tigers Money Leaders

Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders
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