Los Angeles @ New York picks

New York has been dominant at home, boasting a 34-16 record, and they've also had great success with Senga on the mound, winning his last five starts — four of them by at least two runs.

Jorge Soler projects as the 20th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Jorge Soler has been unlucky this year, posting a .293 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .337 — a .044 discrepancy.. Jorge Soler's 13% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 81st percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Jo Adell is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Jo Adell has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11.8% rate last year to 17.2% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field.. Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Ronny Mauricio pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.. Ronny Mauricio will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Ronny Mauricio's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (23.4° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal mark.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Zach Neto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 40.6% to 52.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Mike Trout as the game's 7th-best home run hitter.. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field.. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Trout tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Tyler Anderson today.. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Brett Baty has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Brett Baty with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Anderson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. This season, Brett Baty has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.. Brett Baty has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .236 mark is considerably lower than his .271 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.