New York @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Today, Drake Baldwin is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (77th percentile). Extreme groundball bats like Drake Baldwin are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Drake Baldwin has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week. Drake Baldwin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 12.1% on the season to 0% over the last 14 days. Drake Baldwin has been lucky this year, compiling a .362 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .044 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Wells will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes today.

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Anthony Volpe has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cody Bellinger today. Over the past week, Cody Bellinger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 18.2%. Over the last two weeks, Cody Bellinger's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.2%. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cody Bellinger has had some very good luck given the .027 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team in action today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Giancarlo Stanton has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorbit Vivas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Jorbit Vivas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Marcus Stroman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 19.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week. In the last week, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%. Ronald Acuna Jr. has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .321 rate is a good deal higher than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jasson Dominguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team in action today.

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Oswald Peraza has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.