San Diego @ Washington Picks & Props

SD vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
Total
San Diego Padres logo Washington Nationals logo u8.0 (-110)
Pick made: 5 months ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Nick Pivetta is 9-2 with a 2.88 ERA in his first season with the Padres, while Nationals lefty MacKenzie Gore ranks third in the NL in strikeouts. Given that both pitchers are firing on all cylinders, look for a low-scoring affair in D.C.

Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. This game is expected to have the 6th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jake Cronenworth has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jake Cronenworth has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92-mph in the past 14 days.. In the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.
Total RBIs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest.. This game is expected to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest.. This game is expected to have the 6th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest.. This game is expected to have the 6th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. This game is expected to have the 6th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. This game is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Nick Pivetta in this game.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.
Total RBIs
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. This game is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. This game is expected to have the 6th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average.. Gavin Sheets has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .328 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. This game is expected to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jackson Merrill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Merrill has experienced some negative variance this year. His .318 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .355.
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SD vs WAS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

67% picking San Diego

67%
33%

Total PicksSD 473, WAS 235

Moneyline
SD
WAS
Total

70% picking San Diego vs Washington to go Under

30%
70%

Total PicksSD 132, WAS 302

Total
Over
Under

SD vs WAS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average. Gavin Sheets has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .328 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gavin Sheets logo

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average. Gavin Sheets has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .328 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jackson Merrill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Merrill has experienced some negative variance this year. His .318 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .355.

Jackson Merrill logo

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jackson Merrill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Merrill has experienced some negative variance this year. His .318 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .355.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Cronenworth has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

Jake Cronenworth logo

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Cronenworth has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth's 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • San Diego

Elias Diaz
E. Diaz
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (17.7°) is considerably higher than his 7.3° mark last season.

Elias Diaz logo

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (17.7°) is considerably higher than his 7.3° mark last season.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

Jacob Young logo

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. logo

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Daylen Lile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Daylen Lile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Alex Call is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Call has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. By putting up a 1.35 K/BB rate this year, Alex Call has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Alex Call logo

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alex Call is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Call has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. By putting up a 1.35 K/BB rate this year, Alex Call has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Nationals Park projects as the #28 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Luis Arraez logo

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Nationals Park projects as the #28 field in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. MacKenzie Gore will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe logo

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jose Iglesias
J. Iglesias
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jose Iglesias will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Jose Iglesias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Iglesias usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore.

Jose Iglesias logo

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jose Iglesias will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Jose Iglesias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Iglesias usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.

Manny Machado logo

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.

Bryce Johnson Total Hits Props • San Diego

Bryce Johnson
B. Johnson
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryce Johnson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against MacKenzie Gore today. Extreme flyball hitters like Bryce Johnson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) provides evidence that Bryce Johnson has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .267 actual wOBA.

Bryce Johnson logo

Bryce Johnson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryce Johnson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against MacKenzie Gore today. Extreme flyball hitters like Bryce Johnson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) provides evidence that Bryce Johnson has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .267 actual wOBA.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts logo

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. In the league, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington

Paul DeJong
P. DeJong
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Paul DeJong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 39.8% to 48.9%.

Paul DeJong logo

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Paul DeJong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 39.8% to 48.9%.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brady House has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brady House will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Brady House has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.4-mph.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brady House has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brady House will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Brady House has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.4-mph.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Nick Pivetta in this game. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Nick Pivetta in this game. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .188 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .188 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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San Diego Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sabster611 9-1-0 +23405
2 Infinite-H 8-2-0 +22730
3 Bigboys9 6-4-0 +20690
4 CJONES1068 8-2-0 +14925
5 Enelra18 5-5-0 +13770
6 Ollywood 8-2-0 +13087
7 dude18555 5-5-0 +13040
8 vlkvlk2012 2-8-0 +12910
9 Moneyman00 6-4-0 +12810
10 dawoodman 9-1-0 +12745
All Padres Money Leaders

Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders
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