Cincinnati @ New York picks

Cincy will start Nick Martinez, and while he’s 2-1 in July, he’s carrying a hefty 8.47 ERA, allowing 16 earned runs in 17 innings across his three starts. Despite a loss to kick off the second-half, Citi Field has been good to New York in 2025, as they've gone 33-15 at home. That's tied for both the most wins and fewest losses in the National League.

Martinez has given up 14 long balls in 21 appearances in 2025. Soto is back to his confident self, which is a scary sight for opposing arms. While it’s an incredibly small sample size, Soto is 1-for-1 lifetime against Martinez with a home run.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors's 11th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Clay Holmes.. Elly De La Cruz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Matt McLain's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors's 11th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage today.. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors's 11th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.