San Diego @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Maldonado in the 0th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Martin Maldonado is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Martin Maldonado has been pinch hit for 44% of the time. The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Nationals Park ranks as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Nationals Park ranks as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph figure last year has decreased to 85.8-mph. Luis Arraez has recorded a .295 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Mike Soroka will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.8% to 40.9%.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Among all parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Elias Diaz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last season's 7.3° to 17.3° this season. Elias Diaz's speed has increased this season. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.9 ft/sec now.

Daylen Lile's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage today. Jake Cronenworth has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last two weeks, Jake Cronenworth's 22.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph EV.

CJ Abrams's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Josh Bell tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brady House has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brady House will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Brady House's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 22.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Among all parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Manny Machado has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 25.8% in the past 14 days.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42% to 48.3%. Xander Bogaerts has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .313 mark is a good deal lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Riley Adams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Riley Adams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games. Riley Adams has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .190 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .216 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Jacob Young generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trenton Brooks will have the handedness advantage over Mike Soroka today. Trenton Brooks's quickness has increased this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.49 ft/sec now.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.

Keibert Ruiz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.