San Diego @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
SD vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.7-mph over the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Mike Soroka today.. Jackson Merrill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the highest humidity on the slate at 75%.. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases

Elias Diaz u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elias Diaz is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park grades out as the #28 field in baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Mike Soroka will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Elias Diaz o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Elias Diaz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure.. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last season's 7.3° to 17.3° this season.. Elias Diaz's speed has increased this season. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.9 ft/sec now.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Riley Adams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Over the past two weeks, Riley Adams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games.. Riley Adams has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .190 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .216 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Josh Bell tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease.. Josh Bell has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph average.
Outs Recorded

Michael Soroka u16.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 15.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Riley Adams, the Nationals's expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the highest humidity on the slate at 75%.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Mike Soroka has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.1% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.