Athletics @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
ATH vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
Walks Allowed


Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I will take most 1.5-walk props at +120 or better, but I especially love this one today. THE BAT does not love it, but that is why I’m getting a fantastic price on a pitcher who has been cashing these Overs. Cecconi has a projected pitch count of 86 from THE BAT, which might be low considering he threw 98 and 105 pitches over his last two starts. He is seeing a lot of batters and has had 2+ walks in three straight games and in seven of his last 10. He’s walked 18 over 55 innings, and the Athletics are an average BB% team on the season but have been taking more free passes of late, ranking 13th in BB% over the last 30 days. I'd buy this to +120.
Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 13th-best hitter in MLB.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Brent Rooker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jose Ramirez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nicholas Kurtz projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nicholas Kurtz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 field in MLB for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Nicholas Kurtz will have the handedness advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's game.
Total RBIs

Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.263) implies that Shea Langeliers has had bad variance on his side this year with his .227 actual batting average.
Total RBIs

Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 field in MLB for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 field in MLB for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases

Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 field in MLB for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an edge in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Johnathan Rodriguez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Progressive Field.. Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an edge in today's game.. Batters such as Johnathan Rodriguez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like JP Sears who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field projects as the #3 field in MLB for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Bo Naylor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.. There has been a significant improvement in Bo Naylor's launch angle from last season's 19.5° to 22.8° this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Denzel Clarke o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke as the 11th-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Extreme groundball batters like Denzel Clarke are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Slade Cecconi.. Over the last two weeks, Denzel Clarke's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph recently.