Toronto @ Athletics Picks & Props

Nathan Lukes has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year. Nathan Lukes has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Typically, hitters like Nathan Lukes who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Luis Severino. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathan Lukes in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nathan Lukes's true offensive skill to be a .309, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .029 difference between that mark and his actual .338 wOBA.

In the majors, Sutter Health Park's LF dimensions are the 6th-deepest. Luis Severino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's game. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Despite posting a .378 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has had some very good luck given the .031 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

Ernie Clement is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game. Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Ernie Clement in today's game. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ernie Clement in today's matchup. Despite posting a .315 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ernie Clement has been very fortunate given the .018 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. In the majors, Sutter Health Park's LF dimensions are the 6th-deepest. Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Alejandro Kirk will not have the upper hand in today's game. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Alejandro Kirk's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 24.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.01 ft/sec now.

In the majors, Sutter Health Park's LF dimensions are the 6th-deepest. Luis Severino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Bo Bichette's quickness has decreased this year. His 27.32 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.16 ft/sec now.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a tough challenge in today's matchup. In today's game, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 6.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 7th percentile, among the lowest in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Zack Gelof will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Zack Gelof has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, posting a 20.5° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Lawrence Butler will have the upper hand today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league. Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke as the 10th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Denzel Clarke are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer. Denzel Clarke will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Will Wagner's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Will Wagner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Will Wagner grades out in the 81st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .263.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an edge in today's matchup. Joey Loperfido has been hot of late, tallying a .398 wOBA over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Max Muncy will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. This year, the hardest ball Max Muncy has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.6 mph (an advanced standard to evaluate power), checking in at the 86th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Shea Langeliers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Addison Barger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Miguel Andujar will hold that advantage in today's game. Miguel Andujar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph EV.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nicholas Kurtz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Nicholas Kurtz will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer in today's game.