Toronto @ Athletics picks

A's right-hander Luis Severino enters with a 2-10 record and a 5.09 ERA, and now he's set to face the hottest team in baseball. Back Toronto to roll into Sacramento with a bang and cover the run line.

The A's are eighth in the majors in slugging (.415) while ranking seventh in run first inning rate (31.9%). They should get to Max Scherzer who is a shell of his former self and has been dealing with inflammation on his right (throwing) thumb. The 40-year-old has pitched to a 9.00 ERA with an OBA of .375 in the first inning this year. That said, the Jays offense has been on fire, batting .282 while plating 5.93 runs per game over the last 15 days. They should mash against Luis Severino who has a 5.30 ERA and sits in the bottom 10th percentile in xBA (.287).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has multiple bases in 12 of his last 20 road dates. The weather will be as good as it gets for offense, and Luis Severino has allowed an average of 4.4 earned runs per start at home this year.

Tyler Soderstrom has hit well at home all season, especially against right-handed pitching. He has multiple H+R+R in 56% of home games vs. righties and he’s playing some of his best ball of the season. Soderstrom has averaged 2.7 H+R+R over his last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.

When estimating his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.

When estimating his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.

Max Muncy is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Hitting from the same side that Max Scherzer throws from, Max Muncy meets a tough challenge today.. Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Using Statcast metrics, Max Muncy ranks in the 13th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .283.. Max Muncy has posted a .219 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.

When estimating his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 95°.