Pittsburgh @ Kansas City Picks & Props

PIT vs KC Picks

MLB Picks
Hits Allowed
Seth Lugo logo Seth Lugo u5.5 Hits Allowed (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Seth Lugo has allowed fewer than 5.5 hits in 13 of 16 starts this year. The Royals righty has pitched to a sparkling 2.65 ERA with an OBA of .216. He's fresh off a strong outing on the road in Seattle, and he returns home to Kauffman Stadium for today's game against the Pirates. The Buccos are dead-last in the majors in OPS (.642), with that number dropping to an atrocious .582 on the road.

Game Prop
Pittsburgh Pirates logo Kansas City Royals logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (No: -125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Royals are dead-last in the majors in OPS at home (.644). Meanwhile, the Pirates have an OPS of just .582 on the road —  the lowest number this century. Both teams also have a pair of effective pitchers on the hill. KC righty Seth Lugo has pitched to a 2.65 ERA with an OBA of .216 in 16 starts. Pittsburgh starter Mitch Keller has looked very sharp lately, posting a 3.08 ERA with a 2.92 FIP in his last 10 starts.

Total RBIs
Tommy Pham logo
Tommy Pham o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitters such as Tommy Pham with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Seth Lugo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has had some very poor luck given the .034 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Seth Lugo.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.. Andrew McCutchen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 93-mph EV.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Tommy Pham logo
Tommy Pham o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitters such as Tommy Pham with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Seth Lugo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has had some very poor luck given the .034 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
Total Bases
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past week, Spencer Horwitz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph in recent games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Seth Lugo.
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PIT vs KC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

74% picking Kansas City

26%
74%

Total PicksPIT 166, KC 471

Moneyline
PIT
KC
Moneyline
Total

68% picking Pittsburgh vs Kansas City to go Under

32%
68%

Total PicksPIT 132, KC 278

PIT vs KC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Ke'Bryan Hayes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Ke'Bryan Hayes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Henry Davis's quickness has gotten better this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.21 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) implies that Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Henry Davis's quickness has gotten better this season. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.21 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) implies that Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest RF fences today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 75-mph in the last 7 days.

Bobby Witt Jr. logo

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest RF fences today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 75-mph in the last 7 days.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitters such as Tommy Pham with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Seth Lugo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitters such as Tommy Pham with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Seth Lugo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Loftin
N. Loftin
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Loftin will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.9°, Nick Loftin has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 33.3° figure over the last 7 days.

Nick Loftin logo

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Loftin will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.9°, Nick Loftin has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 33.3° figure over the last 7 days.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme flyball batters like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.

Salvador Perez logo

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme flyball batters like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.1% to 51.6%.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.1% to 51.6%.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Maikel Garcia's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Maikel Garcia logo

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Maikel Garcia's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Isbel logo

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Freddy Fermin logo

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jac Caglianone Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jac Caglianone
J. Caglianone
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an advantage today. Jac Caglianone will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jac Caglianone logo

Jac Caglianone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an advantage today. Jac Caglianone will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Jonathan India logo

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

John Rave Total Hits Props • Kansas City

John Rave
J. Rave
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). John Rave will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and John Rave will hold that advantage in today's game.

John Rave logo

John Rave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). John Rave will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and John Rave will hold that advantage in today's game.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's game.

Vinnie Pasquantino logo

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for left-handed BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
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Kansas City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +21380
2 CHEOAPONTE 4-6-0 +19625
3 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +15915
4 DavePaliwoda 6-4-0 +13570
5 Mava5 7-3-0 +13310
6 jerrygora 3-7-0 +12980
7 Brayy_Wyatt 7-3-0 +12595
8 Yellafella59 7-3-0 +12435
9 stakay125 5-5-0 +12285
10 Mexicali72 3-7-0 +12020
All Royals Money Leaders
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