Final Jul 5
TB 5 +106 o10.0
MIN 6 -115 u10.0
Final Jul 5
STL 8 +140 o11.0
CHC 6 -152 u11.0
Final (11) Jul 5
LAA 3 +175 o9.0
TOR 4 -192 u9.0
Final Jul 5
BOS 10 -112 o9.5
WAS 3 +103 u9.5
Final Jul 5
CIN 1 +160 o9.0
PHI 5 -175 u9.0
Final (10) Jul 5
BAL 9 +139 o8.5
ATL 6 -151 u8.5
Final Jul 5
MIL 2 -130 o8.5
MIA 4 +120 u8.5
Final Jul 5
KC 1 +119 o9.0
AZ 7 -129 u9.0
Final Jul 5
NYY 6 -140 o9.5
NYM 12 +129 u9.5
Final Jul 5
DET 1 -129 o9.0
CLE 0 +119 u9.0
Final Jul 5
HOU 6 +143 o9.0
LAD 4 -155 u9.0
Final Jul 5
CHW 10 +126 o11.0
COL 3 -136 u11.0
Final Jul 5
TEX 7 +113 o8.0
SD 4 -123 u8.0
Final Jul 5
SF 7 -176 o9.5
ATH 2 +161 u9.5
Final Jul 5
PIT 0 +147 o7.0
SEA 1 -161 u7.0

Cincinnati @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in the league for RHB base hits. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge today. Trea Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (6.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 9.7° angle last season.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in the league for RHB base hits. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge today. Trea Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (6.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 9.7° angle last season.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Zack Wheeler.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Zack Wheeler.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage today.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage today.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Chase Burns in today's game. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Chase Burns in today's game. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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