Pittsburgh @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
PIT vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Although Woo doesn’t usually strike out a ton of hitters each outing, he’s on a heater at the moment. The right-hander has racked up nine punchouts in each of his last two appearances against the Texas Rangers and Minnesota Twins, respectively. There’s reason to believe he could keep it rolling today. The M’s face the Pittsburgh Pirates, who rank in the top 10 in the big leagues in most strikeouts. He’s also pitching at home here, where Woo has a 2.08 ERA, racking up 33 Ks in 39 frames.
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Bryan Woo) in this game.. Bryan Reynolds has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 95.1-mph over the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Bailey Falter.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an advantage today.. Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dylan Moore o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Dylan Moore will have an advantage in today's game.. Dylan Moore has strong power (85th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter has a pitch-to-contact profile (13th percentile K%) — great news for Moore.. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Henry Davis has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 27.73 ft/sec to 28.21 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.1) suggests that Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 11.9 actual HR/600.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.3° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cole Young will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Over the last 7 days, Cole Young's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 11.1%.. Cole Young has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph average.. Cole Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 15.5% on the season to 27.8% in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases

Jorge Polanco u1.5 Total Bases (-195)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Jorge Polanco's BABIP ability is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast forecasts the most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.