New York @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field ranks as the #29 field in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Marcus Stroman today. In the past 7 days, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%. Francisco Lindor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (14.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 18.8° mark last season.

Citi Field ranks as the #29 field in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 10.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 15.5% on the season to 7.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ronny Mauricio will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Marcus Stroman in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Ronny Mauricio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jasson Dominguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Paul Blackburn today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Paul Goldschmidt's launch angle recently (29.2° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 14.8° seasonal mark.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Batters such as Tyrone Taylor with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Marcus Stroman who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Tyrone Taylor, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has suffered from bad luck given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Giancarlo Stanton pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. There has been a significant improvement in Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle from last year's 14.3° to 21.8° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball batters like DJ LeMahieu are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Blackburn. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 52.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today.

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team on the slate today.

In the league, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, J.C. Escarra will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.C. Escarra stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Austin Wells has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.