San Francisco @ Arizona picks

Even with Devers reeling along a down year, he still sports an elite .380 wOBA, .261 ISO and .908 OPS against righties since the beginning of the 2023 campaign. His current 8-for-43 run at the dish has resulted in just four runs, eight hits and four RBI and a .658 OPS, so I’m anticipating the two-time Silver Slugger kicking the funk tonight. Diamondbacks righty Merrill Kelly has also served up a healthy 45.1% hard-hit rate, and our MLB prop projections give this Devers Over a five-star rating.

Ketel Marte mashes right-handed pitching. He has averaged 2.2 total bases per game when facing a right-handed starter and his numbers are exceptional across the board. Marte owns a .316 batting average vs. righties while leading the Arizona Diamondbacks in wOBA and barrel rate. The Diamondbacks rank third in runs per game, and can keep up with anybody offensively, so sporting the best numbers on the team against right-handed pitchers is no small feat. He has a nice matchup against Landen Roupp, who has not fared well against left-handed bats – especially on the road.

Jose Herrera, the D-Backs's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #7 venue in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Considering that groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Merrill Kelly and his 42.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot today squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.. Merrill Kelly wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and put up 1 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.8%.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's game.. Bats such as Mike Yastrzemski with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Merrill Kelly who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. In the last two weeks, Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

The San Francisco Giants have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future. Jose Herrera, the D-Backs's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #3 park in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Considering that groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Merrill Kelly and his 42.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot today squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.. Merrill Kelly's cut-fastball usage has decreased by 6% from last year to this one (25.2% to 19.2%) .