San Francisco @ Arizona Picks & Props

SF vs AZ Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ketel Marte mashes right-handed pitching. He has averaged 2.2 total bases per game when facing a right-handed starter and his numbers are exceptional across the board. Marte owns a .316 batting average vs. righties while leading the Arizona Diamondbacks in wOBA and barrel rate. The Diamondbacks rank third in runs per game, and can keep up with anybody offensively, so sporting the best numbers on the team against right-handed pitchers is no small feat. He has a nice matchup against Landen Roupp, who has not fared well against left-handed bats – especially on the road.

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rafael Devers logo Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Even with Devers reeling along a down year, he still sports an elite .380 wOBA, .261 ISO and .908 OPS against righties since the beginning of the 2023 campaign. His current 8-for-43 run at the dish has resulted in just four runs, eight hits and four RBI and a .658 OPS, so I’m anticipating the two-time Silver Slugger kicking the funk tonight. Diamondbacks righty Merrill Kelly has also served up a healthy 45.1% hard-hit rate, and our MLB prop projections give this Devers Over a five-star rating.

Strikeouts Thrown
Merrill Kelly logo
Merrill Kelly u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 5.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jose Herrera, the D-Backs's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #7 venue in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Considering that groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Merrill Kelly and his 42.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot today squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.. Merrill Kelly wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and put up 1 Ks.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.
Total RBIs
Wilmer Flores logo
Wilmer Flores o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.8%.
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's game.. Bats such as Mike Yastrzemski with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Merrill Kelly who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. In the last two weeks, Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-109)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.
Outs Recorded
Merrill Kelly logo
Merrill Kelly u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The San Francisco Giants have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future. Jose Herrera, the D-Backs's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #3 park in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Considering that groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Merrill Kelly and his 42.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot today squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.. Merrill Kelly's cut-fastball usage has decreased by 6% from last year to this one (25.2% to 19.2%) .
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SF vs AZ Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

67% picking Arizona

33%
67%

Total PicksSF 279, AZ 555

Moneyline
SF
AZ
Moneyline

SF vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Mike Yastrzemski
M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's game. Bats such as Mike Yastrzemski with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Merrill Kelly who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Mike Yastrzemski logo

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's game. Bats such as Mike Yastrzemski with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Merrill Kelly who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

Willy Adames logo

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Wilmer Flores
W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

Wilmer Flores logo

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Merrill Kelly.

Brett Wisely Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Brett Wisely
B. Wisely
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Brett Wisely has posted a 29.5° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Brett Wisely logo

Brett Wisely

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Brett Wisely has posted a 29.5° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jung Hoo Lee
J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee logo

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge in today's matchup.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Heliot Ramos
H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.8%.

Heliot Ramos logo

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.8%.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers logo

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Dominic Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 12.5%.

Dominic Smith logo

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Dominic Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 12.5%.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side against Merrill Kelly in this game. Patrick Bailey has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 91.4-mph. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has been unlucky given the .039 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .282.

Patrick Bailey logo

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his good side against Merrill Kelly in this game. Patrick Bailey has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 91.4-mph. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has been unlucky given the .039 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .282.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ketel Marte logo

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 18.6% this season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 18.6% this season.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Tyler Fitzgerald
T. Fitzgerald
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Tyler Fitzgerald logo

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Geraldo Perdomo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 18.8%.

Geraldo Perdomo logo

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Geraldo Perdomo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 18.8%.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage today.

Alek Thomas logo

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage today.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jose Herrera
J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jose Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Jose Herrera's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.2-mph over the course of the season to 88.3-mph recently. Jose Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 18.2% on the season to 22.7% over the past 14 days.

Jose Herrera logo

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jose Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Jose Herrera's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.2-mph over the course of the season to 88.3-mph recently. Jose Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 18.2% on the season to 22.7% over the past 14 days.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand today.

Pavin Smith logo

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand today.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona

Randal Grichuk
R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage today. Randal Grichuk has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.1-mph.

Randal Grichuk logo

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage today. Randal Grichuk has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.1-mph.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today's game. Jake McCarthy will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy logo

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today's game. Jake McCarthy will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Andrew Knizner
A. Knizner
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.53
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Andrew Knizner has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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San Francisco Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 chefsloan7 7-3-0 +18210
2 charro23 5-4-1 +17850
3 jazzmatazz 6-4-0 +17510
4 alayne89 6-4-0 +17150
5 doomsday07 7-3-0 +16820
6 Huskerdave 6-4-0 +15895
7 Midway28 8-2-0 +15680
8 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +15400
9 CNOTES 7-3-0 +14830
10 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +14695
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Arizona Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 anya 7-3-0 +19170
2 PlusOdds 3-6-1 +17545
3 Bassboy7276 6-4-0 +15647
4 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13772
5 vitom 6-3-1 +13655
6 mccabecj 4-6-0 +13555
7 timstutler25 4-6-0 +12860
8 drizrazz 5-3-2 +12715
9 hoody 8-2-0 +12370
10 Brayy_Wyatt 5-5-0 +12265
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders
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