Kansas City @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
KC vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded


Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Logan Gilbert has looked a little rusty since his return from an elbow injury which cost him nearly two months. However, the strikeouts have still been there and a matchup with the struggling Royals might be just what he needs to get back on track. KC ranks 23rd in batting average, 27th in OPS, and 28th in wRC+ since June 1.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Salvador Perez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (18.4°) is quite a bit better than his 14.7° mark last year.. Salvador Perez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (31.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 18.4° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today's matchup.. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Jorge Polanco o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Jorge Polanco has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.275) suggests that Jorge Polanco has had some very poor luck this year with his .249 actual batting average.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bobby Witt Jr.'s launch angle recently (26.7° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 14.7° seasonal angle.. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 43.7% to 49.8%.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Noah Cameron in today's game.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dylan Moore o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dylan Moore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's game.. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 18% to 23.7%.
Outs Recorded

Logan Gilbert o18.5 Outs Recorded (+158)
Projection 18.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert as the 17th-best starting pitcher in MLB right now.. Logan Gilbert has averaged 92.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the most favorable pitching conditions of the day.
Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bobby Witt Jr.'s launch angle recently (26.7° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 14.7° seasonal angle.. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 43.7% to 49.8%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cole Young will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Cole Young has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 91.1-mph.