Milwaukee @ New York Picks & Props

MIL vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL -1.5 (+145)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

The New York Mets have been struggling to score runs, and now they face the most electric rookie pitcher we’ve seen in 2025. In his first three MLB starts, Jacob Misiorowski has allowed just two runs and three hits over 16 innings of work. A horrible matchup awaits the Mets, especially given their recent offensive issues and Milwaukee’s prolific offense. 

Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+145)
Projection 4.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 79 pitches today (6th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski today.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Juan Soto will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today.. William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 41.2% on the season to 60% in the last week's worth of games.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Francisco Lindor's launch angle recently (23.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 13.6° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 20% this year.
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Huascar Brazoban throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph in recent games.
Total RBIs
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Blade Tidwell.. Rhys Hoskins has averaged 23.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .030 gap.
Outs Recorded
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u14.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 12.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 79 pitches today (9th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski today.. The 10.3% Barrel% of the New York Mets grades them out as the #4 group of hitters in the majors this year by this metric.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. In the last week, Jackson Chourio's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.2%.. Placing in the 75th percentile, Jackson Chourio sits with a .295 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
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MIL vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

67% picking Milwaukee

67%
33%

Total PicksMIL 433, NYM 212

Moneyline
MIL
NYM
Moneyline
Total

64% picking Milwaukee vs NY Mets to go Under

36%
64%

Total PicksMIL 131, NYM 237

Total
Over
Under

MIL vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Rhys Hoskins
R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Blade Tidwell.

Rhys Hoskins logo

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Blade Tidwell.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Eric Haase
E. Haase
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Eric Haase pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Eric Haase is very athletic, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.22 ft/sec this year.

Eric Haase logo

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Eric Haase pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Eric Haase is very athletic, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.22 ft/sec this year.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Caleb Durbin has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Caleb Durbin logo

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Caleb Durbin has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Ronny Mauricio
R. Mauricio
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ronny Mauricio will get to bat from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jacob Misiorowski) today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage today. Ronny Mauricio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph average. Over the past week, Ronny Mauricio's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Ronny Mauricio logo

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ronny Mauricio will get to bat from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jacob Misiorowski) today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage today. Ronny Mauricio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph average. Over the past week, Ronny Mauricio's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Huascar Brazoban throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 87-mph average last year, Brice Turang's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.1 mph.

Brice Turang logo

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Huascar Brazoban throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 87-mph average last year, Brice Turang's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.1 mph.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Huascar Brazoban throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph in recent games.

Christian Yelich logo

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Huascar Brazoban throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph in recent games.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Juan Soto will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Juan Soto will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Seigler Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Anthony Seigler
A. Seigler
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The switch-hitting Anthony Seigler will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Huascar Brazoban.

Anthony Seigler logo

Anthony Seigler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The switch-hitting Anthony Seigler will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Huascar Brazoban.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week, Jackson Chourio's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.2%.

Jackson Chourio logo

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week, Jackson Chourio's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.2%.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 20% this year.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 20% this year.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Huascar Brazoban today. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Sal Frelick has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 83.4-mph average.

Sal Frelick logo

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Huascar Brazoban today. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Sal Frelick has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 83.4-mph average.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 41.2% on the season to 60% in the last week's worth of games.

William Contreras logo

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 41.2% on the season to 60% in the last week's worth of games.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle this year (19.9°) is significantly higher than his 16.8° mark last year. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle recently (26.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 19.9° seasonal figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) suggests that Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance this year with his .267 actual wOBA.

Tyrone Taylor logo

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle this year (19.9°) is significantly higher than his 16.8° mark last year. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle recently (26.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 19.9° seasonal figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) suggests that Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance this year with his .267 actual wOBA.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today... and the cherry on top, Misiorowski has a large platoon split. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Brett Baty generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob Misiorowski. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brett Baty has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.8-mph over the last week.

Brett Baty logo

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today... and the cherry on top, Misiorowski has a large platoon split. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Brett Baty generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob Misiorowski. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brett Baty has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.8-mph over the last week.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mark Vientos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .030 gap.

Mark Vientos logo

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mark Vientos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .030 gap.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Francisco Lindor's launch angle recently (23.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 13.6° seasonal angle.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Francisco Lindor's launch angle recently (23.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 13.6° seasonal angle.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Jeff McNeil will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.3% to 19.7%.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Jeff McNeil will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.3% to 19.7%.

Hayden Senger Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Hayden Senger
H. Senger
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hayden Senger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hayden Senger logo

Hayden Senger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hayden Senger will hold that advantage in today's game.

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Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Milwaukee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 9-1-0 +27055
2 LuckyGuy 3-7-0 +21010
3 Ollywood 4-6-0 +19651
4 luke44 2-7-1 +18810
5 declin005 5-5-0 +18675
6 ronebme 7-3-0 +18055
7 joe pockets 7-3-0 +17000
8 peede 5-5-0 +16645
9 longball44 7-3-0 +16480
10 djgarcia 7-3-0 +16030
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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
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