Milwaukee @ New York picks

The New York Mets have been struggling to score runs, and now they face the most electric rookie pitcher we’ve seen in 2025. In his first three MLB starts, Jacob Misiorowski has allowed just two runs and three hits over 16 innings of work. A horrible matchup awaits the Mets, especially given their recent offensive issues and Milwaukee’s prolific offense. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 79 pitches today (6th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Given Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Juan Soto will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today.. William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 41.2% on the season to 60% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Francisco Lindor's launch angle recently (23.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 13.6° seasonal angle.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Huascar Brazoban throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph in recent games.

Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Blade Tidwell.. Rhys Hoskins has averaged 23.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Pete Alonso projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 20% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .030 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. In the last week, Jackson Chourio's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.2%.. Placing in the 75th percentile, Jackson Chourio sits with a .295 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Eric Haase pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Eric Haase is very athletic, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.22 ft/sec this year.