LIVE Bottom 6th Jul 4
BOS 9 -108 o8.0
WAS 1 +100 u8.0
CIN +137 o8.0
PHI -149 u8.0
STL +125 o9.5
CHC -136 u9.5
NYY +116 o9.5
NYM -126 u9.5
TB +100 o10.0
MIN -109 u10.0
PIT +171 o7.0
SEA -188 u7.0
TEX -111 o8.5
SD +102 u8.5
LAA +148 o9.5
TOR -161 u9.5
DET -127 o8.0
CLE +117 u8.0
MIL -124 o8.0
MIA +115 u8.0
BAL +157 o8.5
ATL -172 u8.5
CHW -124 o11.0
COL +115 u11.0
HOU +160 o9.5
LAD -175 u9.5
KC +101 o8.5
AZ -109 u8.5
SF -106 o10.5
ATH -102 u10.5

Cincinnati @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Over the past week, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 85.5 mph. Sporting a 3.69 K/BB rate this year, Jarren Duran has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Over the past week, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 85.5 mph. Sporting a 3.69 K/BB rate this year, Jarren Duran has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Considering Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Considering Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Considering Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Considering Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Typically, batters like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brennan Bernardino. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Elly De La Cruz is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the weak infield defense of Boston (#33-worst on the slate). Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Typically, batters like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brennan Bernardino. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Elly De La Cruz is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the weak infield defense of Boston (#33-worst on the slate). Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

Roman Anthony Total Hits Props • Boston

Roman Anthony
R. Anthony
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Roman Anthony

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Christian Encarnacion-Strand
C. Encarnacion-Strand
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Rece Hinds Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Rece Hinds
R. Hinds
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Rece Hinds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Marcelo Mayer Total Hits Props • Boston

Marcelo Mayer
M. Mayer
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge today.

Marcelo Mayer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge today.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last 7 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 14.3%.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last 7 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 14.3%.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Abraham Toro Total Hits Props • Boston

Abraham Toro
A. Toro
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Abraham Toro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Abraham Toro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Abraham Toro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Will Benson
W. Benson
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Because of Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, Will Benson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Because of Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, Will Benson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Santiago Espinal
S. Espinal
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Santiago Espinal has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Santiago Espinal's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Santiago Espinal has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Santiago Espinal's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Trevor Story hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Trevor Story hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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