Cincinnati @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Because of Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, Austin Hays will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Hays today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) suggests that Austin Hays has had some very good luck this year with his .293 actual batting average.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Nick Martinez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Story in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Trevor Story's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, Trevor Story ranks in the 13th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .283. Trevor Story and his 6.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 10th percentile, among the lowest in baseball this year.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Over the past week, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 85.5 mph. Sporting a 3.69 K/BB rate this year, Jarren Duran has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Considering Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Considering Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Typically, batters like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brennan Bernardino. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Elly De La Cruz is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the weak infield defense of Boston (#33-worst on the slate). Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last 7 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Because of Brennan Bernardino's large platoon split, Will Benson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Abraham Toro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Santiago Espinal has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Santiago Espinal's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.