Cincinnati @ Boston props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Will Benson will have an edge in today's matchup. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to less offense. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Elly De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 96.3 mph to 88.4 mph. Elly De La Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 16.2% on the season to 8.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Abraham Toro is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Trevor Story hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 12.5%.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 92.7-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86-mph over the last 7 days. In the last week's worth of games, Jarren Duran's 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%. Jarren Duran has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Matt McLain's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer today... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Tyler Stephenson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Marcelo Mayer will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Roman Anthony is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Jose Trevino pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Sporting a .280 batting average this year, Jose Trevino finds himself in the 81st percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Romy Gonzalez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.