Kansas City @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
KC vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Bobby Witt Jr. just showed the Dodgers what he’s made of, going 6-for-14 across a three-game set over the weekend. He’s cashed the Over in total bases in back-to-back appearances, going 1-for-4 with a double on Sunday and 4-for-5 on Saturday with three singles and a double. The 25-year-old will be looking to keep it rolling this evening against the Seattle Mariners, and tonight’s matchup certainly plays in his favor. Witt is 4-for-9 lifetime against Kirby with a pair of doubles.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like George Kirby.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Salvador Perez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like George Kirby.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Julio Rodriguez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.8-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game.. This season, Mitch Garver has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 94.6 mph mark.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mitch Garver ranks in the 89th percentile with a 18.6° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors.
Outs Recorded

Michael Wacha u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 16.6 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Seattle Mariners projected offense ranks as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.. Andy Fletcher profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors.. Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Wacha in today's game.. Michael Wacha's 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1-mph drop off from last season's 93.6-mph figure.
Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like George Kirby.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Isbel o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Isbel pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Kyle Isbel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 87.2-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Cole Young will have an edge in today's matchup.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage today.. In the past 7 days, Cole Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph of late.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cole Young's true offensive skill to be a .299, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .054 gap between that mark and his actual .245 wOBA.