San Diego @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Bryce Johnson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler. Out of every team playing today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Matt Waldron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. In the past 7 days, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.3 mph to 86 mph.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Out of every team playing today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Elias Diaz's launch angle this season (16.9°) is a significant increase over his 7.3° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Matt Waldron will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, going from 43.1% on the season to 31.3% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Alec Bohm will have a tough challenge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Alec Bohm has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 venue in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Out of every team playing today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Jake Cronenworth has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.

When estimating his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Manny Machado is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 venue in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.9-mph figure last year has lowered to 85.6-mph. Using Statcast data, Luis Arraez is in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .297.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Tyler Wade has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Martin Maldonado has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.