San Diego @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
SD vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
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Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Phillies have won 36 of their last 58 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI), and Philly sports a 26-14 home record while ranking fourth in wOBA and Zack Wheeler checks out as an elite arm. It’s a different story for the Padres with righty Matt Waldron making his first big-league start of the season, and San Diego checks in at 20-24 on the highway.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game.
Total RBIs

Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Otto Kemp o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Among every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.
Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bryce Johnson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Extreme groundball bats like Bryce Johnson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler.. Out of every team playing today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.