Colorado @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

American Family Field ranks as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme groundball hitters like Sal Frelick generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like German Marquez. Sal Frelick has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .299 rate is inflated compared to his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

American Family Field ranks as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme groundball bats like Christian Yelich tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like German Marquez. Christian Yelich's launch angle this year (1.6°) is considerably lower than his 5.1° figure last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) provides evidence that Christian Yelich has had some very good luck this year with his .343 actual wOBA.

American Family Field grades out as the #26 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, William Contreras faces a tough challenge today. Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like German Marquez. William Contreras has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last season has dropped off to 4.5% this season. In the past 14 days, William Contreras's 31% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

American Family Field grades out as the #26 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Chourio in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.7-mph figure last season has dropped off to 87.5-mph. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16% to 12.1%. Posting a 4.47 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Chourio has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 12th percentile.

In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Extreme flyball bats like Orlando Arcia tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chad Patrick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Tyler Freeman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Tyler Freeman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Jordan Beck has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last season to 13.1% this year.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph mark.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Caleb Durbin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Chad Patrick today.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 10.9% on the season to 25% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Ryan Ritter's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 44.1% on the season to 50% in the last 7 days.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mickey Moniak has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11% seasonal rate to 26.3% over the last two weeks. Mickey Moniak's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 19.9%.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 43.1% to 50.7%.

In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Extreme flyball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like German Marquez. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Braxton Fulford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today. Isaac Collins has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.7% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge in today's matchup.