Los Angeles @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
LAD vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Ohtani is averaging 2.5 total bases across his last 10 games and has recorded 2+ total bases in four of his last six outings.
Total RBIs

Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Jac Caglianone will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jac Caglianone has been unlucky this year. His .232 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101-mph average to last season's 99-mph EV.. Last season, Shohei Ohtani had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19.9°.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Extreme flyball batters like Max Muncy usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kris Bubic.. Max Muncy has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last week's worth of games.. In the last week, Max Muncy's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Isbel o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the last week's worth of games, Kyle Isbel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.7-mph over the course of the season to 90.8-mph in recent games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Jac Caglianone will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jac Caglianone has been unlucky this year. His .232 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.
Outs Recorded

Kris Bubic u17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Projection 16.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order ranks as the best on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Kris Bubic (43.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 FB hitters in Los Angeles's projected offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Max Muncy o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Extreme flyball batters like Max Muncy usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kris Bubic.. Max Muncy has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last week's worth of games.. In the last week, Max Muncy's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%.
Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101-mph average to last season's 99-mph EV.. Last season, Shohei Ohtani had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19.9°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101-mph average to last season's 99-mph EV.. Last season, Shohei Ohtani had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19.9°.