Minnesota @ Detroit picks
Comerica Park
MIN vs DET Picks
MLB Picks
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Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Tarik Skubal is well on his way to repeating as AL Cy Young winner, and the Tigers' southpaw will continue to dominate against a Twins team batting just .125/.173/.298 against him over 12 starts. Expect Detroit to take control on Sunday Night Baseball.
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Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
There’s a massive pitching advantage for the Tigers at home tonight, with lefty Tarik Skubal turning in another dominant season, and the Twins countering with Chris Paddack. Additionally, the Tigers are 29-14 at Comerica Park, while the Twins are just 18-26 on the highway.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Carlos Correa o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs

Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Byron Buxton o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as the majors's 9th-best home run batter.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Wallner tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tarik Skubal.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total Bases

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brooks Lee o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Brooks Lee has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.6-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph figure.. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 41.7% on the season to 51.5% in the past two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-190)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Carlos Correa o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Christian Vazquez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In the majors, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Christian Vazquez will have an advantage in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Christian Vazquez's launch angle recently (26.2° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15.6° seasonal angle.. Christian Vazquez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .172 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .221 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.