St. Louis @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
STL vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
The Cardinals have owned this head-to-head of late, reeling off four straight wins and five of the last seven. Look for them to continue their surge at the expense of the struggling Guardians.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for left-handed BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.
Outs Recorded

Matthew Liberatore u17.5 Outs Recorded (+108)
Projection 16.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It may be smart to expect better results for the Cleveland Guardians offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. Ryan Wills profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping today.. The #3 field in MLB for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums.. With 8 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Matthew Liberatore will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Victor Scott II o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for left-handed BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Victor Scott II has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.. Grading out in the 84th percentile, Victor Scott II has notched a .333 BABIP this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field projects as the #3 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Austin Hedges will have an edge in today's matchup.. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Austin Hedges will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alec Burleson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for left-handed BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Willson Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage in today's game.