Athletics @ New York picks

Aaron Judge will like today’s matchup. The New York Yankees face the Athletics, who hand JP Sears the baseball. He’s allowed three homers in his last two starts and Judge has destroyed Sears. The outfielder is 3-for-8 lifetime with a pair of bombs. Judge swings it very well against left-handed hurlers, going deep 10 times while hitting .355. He’s already smacked two home runs against the Athletics this season as well.

With a .434 xwOBA against Schmidt and a .291 BABIP versus right-handers, there's strong potential for the Athletics to exploit him. I’ll fire away at the value behind the bet on Schmidt recording Under 17.5 outs. 

Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an edge today.. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Soderstrom can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game.

Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Clarke Schmidt is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #6 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.. Considering that groundball batters have a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Clarke Schmidt and his 35.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this matchup going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21°) is significantly better than his 16.9° figure last season.. Compared to his seasonal average of 21°, Austin Wells has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.7° figure in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game.

Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for bats.. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.