Athletics @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #27 venue in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Over the last week, Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 94.7 mph to 90.8 mph.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #27 venue in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as JP Sears. In the last 7 days, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 24.7% down to 15.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game. Lawrence Butler may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke as the 11th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Extreme groundball bats like Denzel Clarke generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Denzel Clarke has been very consistent with his of late, compiling a 35.5° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an edge today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Soderstrom can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Brent Rooker has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.8-mph average.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Wilson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Jacob Wilson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nicholas Kurtz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Nicholas Kurtz will have the upper hand in today's game. Nicholas Kurtz may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's game. Jasson Dominguez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 16% in the past 14 days. Jasson Dominguez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 97.4-mph in the past 7 days.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Posting a 1.31 K/BB rate this year, Luis Urias has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an edge in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like DJ LeMahieu generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like JP Sears. DJ LeMahieu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an advantage today. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Among every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Austin Wynns's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (21.3° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.4° seasonal figure.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21°) is significantly better than his 16.9° figure last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 21°, Austin Wells has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.7° figure in the last 14 days. In terms of his batting average, Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck this year. His .217 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats. Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage over JP Sears in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.