San Diego @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Jake Cronenworth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.8 mph compared to last year's 90.8 mph mark.

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.9-mph EV last season has fallen off to 85.3-mph. In the last 14 days, Luis Arraez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Luis Arraez is in the 24th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .298.

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado in today's matchup. Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.7-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.2-mph over the past 7 days. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.9% on the season to 7.5% over the last 14 days.

Elly De La Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, going from 41.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past two weeks. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year. His .366 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's matchup.

Andrew Abbott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Merrill in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Among every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Tyler Stephenson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Martin Maldonado will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Santiago Espinal has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Bryce Johnson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jose Trevino has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.