San Diego @ Cincinnati picks

Abbott has allowed fewer than 1.5 earned runs in 11 of 13 starts this season and has pitched to a sparkling 1.79 ERA. He's  in the top 15th percentile in xERA (2.95) and xBA (.213), which indicates that he'll be able to sustain this production long-term. Today, he faces a Padres lineup that has gone ice-cold, ranking 26th in the majors in OPS (.668) this month. The Friars also struggle against southpaws, slugging just .348 against them this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

When estimating his batting average ability, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 stadium in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 84°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.. Rece Hinds has a ton of pop (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (35.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez struggles to strike batters out (1st percentile K%) — great news for Hinds.

Manny Machado's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 stadium in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.. Jake Cronenworth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 stadium in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Sean Barber) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.