Minnesota @ Detroit Picks & Props

Sawyer Gipson-Long will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today's game. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences today. Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Byron Buxton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 18.6% to 14.1%. Byron Buxton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.1% on the season to 5.9% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Sawyer Gipson-Long in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sawyer Gipson-Long.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Sawyer Gipson-Long throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today. Ryan Jeffers has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph figure. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 37.5% to 47.7%. Ryan Jeffers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .329 figure is deflated compared to his .357 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Sawyer Gipson-Long in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today. Kody Clemens has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 93.8-mph mark. Kody Clemens's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.8% on the season to 26.7% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today. Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has been unlucky given the .031 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Sawyer Gipson-Long. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Sawyer Gipson-Long. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today. Brooks Lee has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph mark.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today. Over the last 14 days, Harrison Bader has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.4% to 17.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today. Over the last two weeks, Ty France has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.2°. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.6% to 49.4%.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batters such as Javier Baez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Festa who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.3% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against David Festa in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 4.4% rate last year to 13.9% this season.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today. Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .175 figure is considerably lower than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 3rd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over David Festa in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Parker Meadows will have the handedness advantage over David Festa today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Parker Meadows will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. This season, Parker Meadows has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. The Barrel% of Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 13.6% this season.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.3°, Dillon Dingler has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.9° mark over the past two weeks. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 85th percentile with a 18.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Zach McKinstry has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jake Rogers has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.