Los Angeles @ Kansas City Picks & Props

In today's matchup, Mookie Betts is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (97th percentile). Extreme flyball bats like Mookie Betts are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Noah Cameron. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts today. Mookie Betts has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week. Grading out in the 17th percentile, Mookie Betts has notched a .260 BABIP this year.

Given Dustin May's huge platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences in today's game. Over the last week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Andy Pages is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Typically, hitters like Andy Pages who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Noah Cameron. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andy Pages in today's game. Andy Pages's launch angle this year (16.2°) is considerably worse than his 20.6° angle last season. Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andy Pages has had positive variance on his side given the .023 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

Noah Cameron will hold the platoon advantage over Freddie Freeman today. In today's game, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (88th percentile). Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the last 14 days, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Freddie Freeman has had some very good luck this year with his .374 actual wOBA.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest RF fences today. Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.3-mph EV last year has decreased to 93-mph. Teoscar Hernandez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (12.8°) is significantly lower than his 16° mark last season. Over the last 7 days, Teoscar Hernandez's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Noah Cameron will have the handedness advantage over Shohei Ohtani today. Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Shohei Ohtani has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 22.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 16.7% over the last 7 days. In the past week, Shohei Ohtani's 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.8%. Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .423 figure is considerably higher than his .382 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Dustin May in today's matchup... and even more favorably, May has a huge platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Kyle Isbel's launch angle from last season's 8.8° to 12.4° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Noah Cameron in this game. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 36.9% to 48.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Jonathan India will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Given Dustin May's huge platoon split, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Jac Caglianone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May today... and the cherry on top, May has a huge platoon split. Jac Caglianone will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jac Caglianone has had bad variance on his side this year. His .236 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .352.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dustin May. Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Enrique Hernandez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Enrique Hernandez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 90.1-mph average. Enrique Hernandez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (19.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 7.7° figure last season.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. In the past week, Max Muncy's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 21.4%. Max Muncy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 19.6% on the season to 28.6% over the past 7 days. Utilizing Statcast data, Max Muncy is in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .364.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, John Rave will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. John Rave will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. John Rave is quite athletic, ranking in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.86 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Waters will get to bat from his strong side against a pitcher with a huge platoon split (Dustin May) in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Miguel Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last season's 86.6-mph mark. Miguel Rojas has notched a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.