Seattle @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
SEA vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The righty surrendered nine earned runs last time out against the Cubs. He also allowed six earned runs and seven earned runs on two different occasions throughout the campaign. That being said, before last week’s terrible start, Hancock cashed the Under in earned runs given up in four consecutive appearances. During that span, he tossed seven scoreless against the Guardians and also allowed just one earned run to the Orioles earlier this month. The 26-year-old has shown the ability to be consistent, and after how he pitched over the weekend, he’ll be primed to respond.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Mitch Garver o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. Mitch Garver has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 92.5-mph average.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. Julio Rodriguez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. Grading out in the 76th percentile, Randy Arozarena sports a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Total RBIs

Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs

Luke Raley o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the league's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. Cal Raleigh has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as Major League Baseball's 10th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Byron Buxton has a ton of pop (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Emerson Hancock has a pitch-to-contact profile (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 11th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's game.. Matt Wallner has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

Dominic Canzone o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. Dominic Canzone has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 30% over the last 7 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. Mitch Garver has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 92.5-mph average.