Washington @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-worst field in the league for righty batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 48.8% to 38.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today's game. Daylen Lile has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 92.8-mph over the last two weeks. Daylen Lile's launch angle of late (16.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 12.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-worst field in the league for righty batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trevor Williams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split. Manny Machado has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph dropping to 89.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Petco Park ranks as the #23 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. There has been a decrease in Jackson Merrill's average exit velocity this season, from 90.4 mph last year to 88.3 mph now

Petco Park ranks as the #23 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. From last season to this one, Luis Arraez's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.9 mph to 85.3 mph. Sporting a .297 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Luis Arraez finds himself in the 24th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hitters such as Jacob Young with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Bergert who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Jacob Young has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph average. In the past two weeks, Jacob Young has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 5.3° compared to his seasonal mark of -0.8°. Jacob Young has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .239 figure is a good deal lower than his .276 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Jake Cronenworth is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past week's worth of games.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 13.6%. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 42% to 47.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 14.6% to 18%. Using Statcast data, CJ Abrams ranks in the 79th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .275.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Tyler Wade will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Wade stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball bats like Tyler Wade tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor Williams. Tyler Wade will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Josh Bell is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Extreme flyball hitters like Josh Bell usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Bergert. Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .197 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Keibert Ruiz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Extreme flyball batters like Jose Iglesias tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor Williams. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .257 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Iglesias has experienced some negative variance given the .026 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283. Ranking in the 98th percentile, Jose Iglesias has put up a .348 BABIP since the start of last season.

As it relates to his batting average, Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .180 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .220. Riley Adams's 95.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.