Washington @ San Diego Picks & Props

WAS vs SD Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Mitchell Parker logo Mitchell Parker u16.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Parker is struggling. He enters this matchup with the Padres ranked in the 15th percentile or worse in expected ERA, expected batting average, and strikeout rate. He also averages just 86.7 pitches per start. He's topped 16.5 outs just twice in his last 10 starts. Those Overs came against the light-hitting Rockies and the Rangers.

Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 20th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's game.. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
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WAS vs SD Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

77% picking San Diego

23%
77%

Total PicksWAS 160, SD 530

Moneyline
WAS
SD
Total

62% picking Washington vs San Diego to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksWAS 260, SD 160

Total
Over
Under

WAS vs SD Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Daylen Lile's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (20.3° over the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 4.1° seasonal mark.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Daylen Lile's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (20.3° over the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 4.1° seasonal mark.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Petco Park projects as the #23 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks.

Jackson Merrill logo

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Petco Park projects as the #23 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Petco Park projects as the #23 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Mitchell Parker will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 87.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

Luis Arraez logo

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Petco Park projects as the #23 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Mitchell Parker will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 87.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek today. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek today. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jose Iglesias
J. Iglesias
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Iglesias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitchell Parker. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Jose Iglesias will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jose Iglesias logo

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Iglesias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitchell Parker. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Jose Iglesias will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth logo

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Over the last two weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 2.9%. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 13.5% on the season to 8.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. logo

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Over the last two weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 2.9%. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 13.5% on the season to 8.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.

Manny Machado logo

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph mark. In the last 14 days, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph recently.

Gavin Sheets logo

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph mark. In the last 14 days, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph recently.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

Nathaniel Lowe logo

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Bell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. In the past week's worth of games, Josh Bell's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 17.6%.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Bell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. In the past week's worth of games, Josh Bell's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 17.6%.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Brady House has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 68.8% of the time in the past two weeks.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Brady House has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 68.8% of the time in the past two weeks.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.

Xander Bogaerts logo

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's game. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.3%.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's game. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.3%.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph figure. Jacob Young's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (4.3° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his -0.1° seasonal mark. Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .245 BA is a fair amount lower than his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jacob Young logo

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph figure. Jacob Young's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (4.3° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his -0.1° seasonal mark. Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .245 BA is a fair amount lower than his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • San Diego

Elias Diaz
E. Diaz
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

Elias Diaz logo

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

Bryce Johnson Total Hits Props • San Diego

Bryce Johnson
B. Johnson
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryce Johnson will get to bat from his good side against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Bryce Johnson generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitchell Parker. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Bryce Johnson will hold that advantage today.

Bryce Johnson logo

Bryce Johnson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryce Johnson will get to bat from his good side against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Bryce Johnson generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitchell Parker. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Bryce Johnson will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders

San Diego Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sabster611 9-1-0 +23405
2 Infinite-H 8-2-0 +22730
3 Bigboys9 6-4-0 +20690
4 CJONES1068 8-2-0 +14925
5 Enelra18 5-5-0 +13770
6 Ollywood 8-2-0 +13087
7 dude18555 5-5-0 +13040
8 vlkvlk2012 2-8-0 +12910
9 Moneyman00 6-4-0 +12810
10 dawoodman 9-1-0 +12745
All Padres Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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