Washington @ San Diego picks
PETCO Park
WAS vs SD Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded


Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Parker is struggling. He enters this matchup with the Padres ranked in the 15th percentile or worse in expected ERA, expected batting average, and strikeout rate. He also averages just 86.7 pitches per start. He's topped 16.5 outs just twice in his last 10 starts. Those Overs came against the light-hitting Rockies and the Rangers.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average ability, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 20th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Manny Machado o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup.
Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's game.. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.