Atlanta @ New York picks

Juan Soto has three homers in his last six games, and he’ll like tonight’s matchup against Braves righty Spencer Schwellenbach, as 13 of his homers are off right-handed hurlers.

The Braves may be having a disappointing campaign, but Ronald Acuna Jr. is a clear bright spot. The former MVP has eight home runs in just 27 games since returning from injury while hitting .396.

Olson is in a ripe spot to kick the funk. Before his current 1-for-10 run at the dish, Olson hit the Over in this market in seven of 10 games with seven runs, 14 hits and 14 RBI while posting a 1.142 OPS. Additionally, the two-time All-Star is eyeing potential statistical correction to his already high-end .368 wOBA, .225 ISO and .794 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season considering posted respective .376, .269 and .889 marks against righties over the previous three years.

Soto is hitting .328 with a 1.181 OPS, seven home runs, and 14 RBIs over 20 games this month, and now he’ll face Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach for the second time in less than a week. Last time they met, Soto took Schwellenbach deep. The Braves right-hander ranks in the 26th percentile in xBA, so I like Soto to stay hot in this matchup.

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Blackburn.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Austin Riley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Austin Riley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When estimating his batting average talent, Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB's 9th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Matt Olson projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Blackburn in today's game.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.