The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets begin a four-game series at Citi Field on Monday, June 23, and there's a lot on the line for the division rivals.
My top Braves vs. Mets predictions and MLB picks are calling for Atlanta first baseman Matt Olson to have a say in making it four straight wins over New York.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Braves vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Braves moneyline
Matt Olson Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Juan Soto Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Braves vs Mets prediction
My Braves vs Mets best bet: Matt Olson Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-125 at Caesars)
Braves vs Mets best bet analysis
A recent lull at the dish has Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson in a ripe spot to kick the funk. Before his current 1-for-10 run at the dish, Olson hit the Over in this market in seven of 10 games with seven runs, 14 hits, and 14 RBI while posting a 1.142 OPS.
Additionally, the two-time All-Star is eyeing a potential statistical correction to his already high-end .368 wOBA, .225 ISO, and .794 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season, considering he posted respective .376, .269, and .889 marks against righties over the previous three years.
Of course, this should also set up as a very favorable pitching matchup for Olson.
New York Mets starter Paul Blackburn sports a career 4.91 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, and his underlying 4.31 xFIP and 6.7% strikeout-to-walk rate aren’t indicators of the 31-year-old righty flipping the script. The Braves also just faced Blackburn on Wednesday, and he allowed four runs on four hits and a pair of walks across just 3 2/3 frames.
Mets vs Braves same-game parlay analysis
I also value Olson hitting in the heart of the Atlanta lineup, and especially with superstar Ronald Acuna Jr. back from injury and leading off to the tune of a 1.202 OPS.
The Mets are in a miserable 1-8 slump, and the Braves have emerging star Spencer Schwellenbach toeing the rubber. Schwellenbach sports a tidy 3.31 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 3.17 xFIP across his 36 career starts.
Atlanta also swept New York in a recent three-game set, and the Braves are beginning to turn the corner with an active 8-4 run while averaging a respectable 5.0 runs per game.
The final leg of this same-game parlay turns to scorching hot Mets outfielder Juan Soto. He’s racked up 14 runs, 19 hits, and 10 RBI across his past 15 games while posting a .503 wOBA, .327 ISO, and 1.192 OPS.
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Braves vs Mets odds
Braves vs Mets live odds
Braves vs Mets opening odds
- Moneyline: Atlanta -125 | New York +105
- Run line: Atlanta -1.5 (+135) | New York +1.5 (-161)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Braves vs Mets trend
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI), and the New York Mets have hit the Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+8.95 Units / 11% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Mets.
How to watch Braves vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Queens, NY |
| Date | Monday, 6-23-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN, PIX11 |
| Braves starting pitcher | Spencer Schwellenbach (5-4, 3.26 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Paul Blackburn (0-1, 6.92 ERA) |
Braves vs Mets latest injuries
Braves vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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