Kansas City @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Manny Machado meets a tough challenge in today's game. Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12% seasonal rate has decreased to 5% in the last week.

Petco Park ranks as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jackson Merrill has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jackson Merrill's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 90.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 76.5-mph over the past 14 days.

Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.1-mph figure. Kyle Isbel's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 37.8% on the season to 76.9% in the last week.

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. faces a tough challenge today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.

Petco Park ranks as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph figure last year has fallen off to 85.1-mph. Over the last two weeks, Luis Arraez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°.

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage today.

Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Freddy Fermin has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Maikel Garcia's launch angle this year (9.7°) is considerably higher than his 6.2° mark last season. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Maikel Garcia has notched a .380 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Gavin Sheets will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game. Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph mark. In the past week, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph recently.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Vinnie Pasquantino has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.2° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games. Vinnie Pasquantino's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 114.4 mph this year, placing in the 89th percentile. By putting up a .272 batting average this year, Vinnie Pasquantino has performed in the 77th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Despite posting a .297 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan India has experienced some negative variance given the .040 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337. As it relates to plate discipline, Jonathan India's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.48 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's game. Xander Bogaerts has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 7 days. Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.9-mph.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an edge in today's matchup. Jac Caglianone hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last 7 days, Jac Caglianone's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 25%. Compared to his seasonal average of 4.9°, Jac Caglianone has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.2° figure in the past week. Jac Caglianone has exhibited some good exit velocity indicators recently, averaging 102.2-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.43 K/BB rate.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. In the last week, Salvador Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.6% up to 25%. Salvador Perez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.9-mph. Salvador Perez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .287 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Randy Vasquez. Drew Waters's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (36.2° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 11.6° seasonal figure. Drew Waters has put up a .350 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Tyler Wade will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Wade will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyler Wade has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 86.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 82.9-mph EV.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, John Rave will have an edge in today's matchup. John Rave is notably toolsy, grading out in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.93 ft/sec this year.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Trenton Brooks will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Trenton Brooks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Trenton Brooks and his 18.8° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

Nick Loftin has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.