Baltimore @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
BAL vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst
Fried has had the upper hand against Baltimore, with Adley Rutschman and Cedric Mullins a combined 1-for-13 against him. Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano is no slouch either. He’s sitting on a 3.38 ERA, and he served up five scoreless innings against the Yankees back in April.
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Judge has already gone deep twice in only 11 at-bats against the O’s in ‘25, and he thrives against this divisional rival. The Bronx Bombers' captain sports five bombs in June, and Tomoyuki Sugano has issues with the long ball, surrendering 13 of them in only 14 starts.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 2.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Coby Mayo will have an edge in today's game.. Bats such as Coby Mayo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Colton Cowser o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Colton Cowser is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases

Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases

Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Gary Sanchez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Gary Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.