Seattle @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive talent to be a .329, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA. By putting up a 5.19 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 10th percentile.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Cole Young's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 45.7% on the season to 70% in the past week's worth of games.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #21 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). George Kirby will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #21 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Julio Rodriguez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days. Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.2-mph over the past 14 days.

Matt Shaw's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Shaw has suffered from bad luck this year. His .280 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.2°, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.1° angle in the last 14 days.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd today. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 23.6% to 19.4%.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Dylan Moore will have an advantage today. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 18% to 23.1%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Randy Arozarena will have the upper hand today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 16.6% to 20.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against George Kirby.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Benjamin Williamson will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Matthew Boyd.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's game. Nico Hoerner has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.9-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Donovan Solano will have an advantage in today's game.