Arizona @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #5 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Bo Bichette will have a tough challenge in today's game. Bo Bichette has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 14% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

The #5 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage today.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Herrera tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Randal Grichuk has notched a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Alan Roden will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.

The #5 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a disadvantage in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-3.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.7°.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 20.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryne Nelson.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Alek Thomas are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Will Robertson will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Will Robertson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Davis Schneider has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Myles Straw has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.