New York @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .498 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .413 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ronny Mauricio has been hot in recent games, notching a a 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past 14 days. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the past week — 109.7-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Francisco Alvarez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Starling Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Blackburn.

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Tyrone Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.3-mph EV.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Luis Torrens's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.3% to 21.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage over Paul Blackburn in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drake Baldwin has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.