New York @ Atlanta Picks & Props

NYM vs ATL Picks

MLB Picks
Total
New York Mets logo Atlanta Braves logo o8.5 (-110)
Pick made: 6 months ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

After blowing a three-run lead late in last night’s game, the New York Mets are now mired in their longest losing streak of the season. It won’t be easy for New York to get back to their winning ways tonight, as they’ll have to overcome a rough pitching matchup on the road against a quality team like the Atlanta Braves. Both teams have largely been playing to the Over as of late. The Mets have hit the Over four times in a row now during their losing streak, while the Braves have done so in four of their last five outings. New York has played to totals of nine or more runs in seven of their last nine games. With two teams that have (or should have) deep and explosive lineups, and with one vulnerable starter, tonight’s total of 8.5 runs is too low for my comfort. I’m taking the Over.

Outs Recorded
Paul Blackburn logo Paul Blackburn u14.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

An Under 14.5 out is always going to be sweaty, but Paul Blackburn is a perfect candidate to trust today on the road in Atlanta where there could be some rain and temps in the mid-to-high 80s. The New York starter’s last appearance was out of the bullpen five days ago where he threw just 17 pitches. He also got rocked and allowed four runs on four hits while recording just one out. 
In his two previous starts before that, he threw 71 and 77 pitches going 1-1 O/U on this number. There is a possibility that he has a blueprint today that might not include even pitching in the fifth inning. There is not much trust with Blackburn and this plus-money Under is worth the potential sweat. 

Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP.. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Alex Verdugo logo
Alex Verdugo o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 9th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the game's 17th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP.. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP.. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Blackburn.
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NYM vs ATL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

NYM vs ATL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .498 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .413 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ronald Acuna Jr. logo

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .498 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .413 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Ronny Mauricio
R. Mauricio
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ronny Mauricio has been hot in recent games, notching a a 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past 14 days. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the past week — 109.7-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power.

Ronny Mauricio logo

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Ronny Mauricio has been hot in recent games, notching a a 15.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past 14 days. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the past week — 109.7-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Francisco Alvarez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph figure.

Francisco Alvarez logo

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Francisco Alvarez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph figure.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Starling Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Starling Marte logo

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Starling Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II logo

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Blackburn.

Ozzie Albies logo

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Blackburn.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Alex Verdugo logo

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Tyrone Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.3-mph EV.

Tyrone Taylor logo

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Tyrone Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.3-mph EV.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Marcell Ozuna logo

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Luis Torrens's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

Luis Torrens logo

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Luis Torrens's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.3% to 21.2%.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.3% to 21.2%.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-worst among every team in action today.

Nick Allen logo

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-worst among every team in action today.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Austin Riley logo

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage over Paul Blackburn in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drake Baldwin has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Drake Baldwin logo

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage over Paul Blackburn in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drake Baldwin has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.

Matt Olson logo

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to more offense.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
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Atlanta Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
3 FAMCOLLECTOR 5-5-0 +12920
4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
6 Enelra18 5-5-0 +10845
7 tenandsix 5-5-0 +10186
8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
9 Whiteyr 6-4-0 +9475
10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
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