Arizona @ Toronto Picks & Props

Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.6 mph. Addison Barger has put up a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today. In the past week, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 14% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today. Compared to his seasonal mark of 4.7°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-3.8° in the past 14 days).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Corbin Carroll has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last year to 15.4% this year. Corbin Carroll has notched a .395 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 96th percentile.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Tim Tawa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today's matchup. Tim Tawa is remarkably fast, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.22 ft/sec this year.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Extreme flyball batters like Jose Herrera tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eric Lauer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 92.6-mph in the past 14 days.

The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the best among all the teams today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge in today's matchup. Sporting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk has performed in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk's 11% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer today. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eric Lauer. Gabriel Moreno has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph mark.

Andres Gimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Extreme groundball batters like Andres Gimenez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 18.3%.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 20.5%. Sporting a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability. Geraldo Perdomo has shown impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 0.92 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ernie Clement has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last year's 85.3-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Toronto (#3-best of the day).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Alejandro Kirk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Tyler Heineman will get to bat from his good side against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Heineman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 26.6°, Davis Schneider has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 53° figure over the past 7 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Davis Schneider has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .278 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Will Robertson has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 4 games.

Alan Roden has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.