Arizona @ Toronto picks
Rogers Centre
AZ vs TOR Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
The Blue Jays have the natural power with guys like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Addison Barger to take advantage of Eduardo Rodriguez's extreme fly ball tendencies. The Jays also rank third in batting average, and seventh in OPS when facing left-handed pitching this season.
Total RBIs

Addison Barger o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. This game is forecasted to have the 5th-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. Corbin Carroll has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last year to 15.4% this year.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Eric Lauer.. Ketel Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game.
Total RBIs

Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge in today's matchup.. As it relates to his home runs, Randal Grichuk has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 23.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.6.
Total RBIs

Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. Alejandro Kirk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.
Total Bases

Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. Corbin Carroll has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last year to 15.4% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Addison Barger o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.. Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.