Cleveland @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
CLE vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Robbie Ray u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
Projection 5.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the league for strikeouts.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. With 8 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Robbie Ray meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Robbie Ray (39.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Cleveland's projected lineup.. Robbie Ray's 93-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1-mph decline from last year's 94-mph mark.
Total RBIs

Lane Thomas o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.. Lane Thomas's launch angle this year (21.2°) is significantly higher than his 16.8° angle last season.
Total RBIs

Carlos Santana o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Robbie Ray.. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.. Carlos Santana has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 93.1-mph in the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

David Fry o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
David Fry is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. David Fry will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.. Over the past two weeks, David Fry has averaged an impressive 98.9-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Heliot Ramos's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Heliot Ramos will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.. Willy Adames has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the last 7 days.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 16.5% to 20.7%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Bo Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.. Bo Naylor's launch angle this year (23.7°) is a significant increase over his 19.5° figure last year.. Bo Naylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 23.2% on the season to 33.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Austin Hedges will have an edge today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.. Austin Hedges has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph figure.. Austin Hedges's 23.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 97th percentile.
Outs Recorded

Robbie Ray u17.5 Outs Recorded (+132)
Projection 16.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Nic Lentz grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. With 8 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Robbie Ray meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Robbie Ray (39.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Cleveland's projected lineup.